Thursday, February 2, 2012

Debt crisis: live

10.41 The UK has sold �1.25bn of inflation-linked 2029 bonds at a negative yield of -0.188pc. Good demand.

10.39 French President Nicolas Sarkozy says real estate prices are too high... has he tried buying a house in London?

He adds that state subsidies boosted property speculation.

10.31 Jos� Manuel Barroso, President of the European Commission, has been speaking in Brussels on competition policy:

Quote If we want to regain confidence of investors and of market participants, this can only be achieved within a system based on solid rules that are fairly enforced. This is the basis of the Commission's approach to competition policy. Our Single Market is our greatest asset, the crown jewel of the European Union, our greatest asset in a competitive and globalised world, and it is our most promising engine for growth. Europe's future growth prospects depend on a rules-based Single Market that fosters openness and innovation.

"On one thing we have to be clear ? yes we need to consolidate undertakings, but in the medium to long term, only those who are able to successfully compete in Europe, will be fit to face competition globally. If an athlete aspires to compete in the Olympic Games, he must first be fit and be among the best in his own country. Competition helps undertakings to be fit enough to compete on a global scale.

10.26 German Chancellor Angela Merkel is in China for talks. Here she is looking at traditional houses in Beijing:

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao has said it is very important to resolve the eurozone debt crisis. His country is considering greater involvement in the EFSF and ESM bailout funds.

Euro jumps against the dollar to $1.31889 on Chinese leader's comments.

10.24 OECD Secretary-General Angel Gurr�a has said the ECB could contribute to cut Greek debt.

10.22 According to Reuters, an Italian minister has told unions that the government will push ahead with labour market reforms even without their agreement. Labour minister reportedly says the government intends to agree labour reforms within two weeks.

10.16 A map of the EU made from Lego is hung in the atrium of the European Council:

10.09 Eurozone producer prices rose 4.3pc year-on-year in December, slower than 5.4pc in November. Slowest since November 2010. Month-on-month producer prices fell 0.2pc, worse than the 0.1pc fall expected.

10.07 France has sold 10-year bonds at an average yield of 3.13pc (versus 3.29pc previously), eight-year bonds at 2.91pc (versus 3.64pc previously).

10.06 Time for an update on the markets:

FTSE 100 -0.2pc

CAC -0.1pc

DAX flat

IBEX +0.2pc

MIB -0.4pc

Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist at FXCM, said:

Quote European shares are sending mixed signals in early trade, with sentiment trends torn between headwinds from Europe and what is likely to be supportive commentary from the Fed?s Ben Bernanke later in the day. On the eurozone crisis front, the situation remains tense. An accord on private-sector involvement in the second Greek bailout ? without which the debt-strapped country may face default as soon as early March ? remains stubbornly elusive.

09.51 Spain has sold ?4.56bn of bonds, slightly more than planned. ?2.52bn of 2.861pc 2015 bonds, ?1.05bn of 3.455pc 2016 bonds and ?984m of 3.565pc 2017 bonds. Yields all fell from previous auction, demand higher.

Spain now issued close to 25pc of full-year target - not bad for the beginning of February.

09.41 Bloomberg is reporting that Anglo American chief executive Cynthia Carroll has undergone an operation on her hip after a horse-riding accident at the weekend.

Carroll, who is understood to be ?recovering well?, has been advised by her doctor not to travel internationally for about two months, Pranill Ramchander, a spokesman for the company, said by phone.

?Plans are in place to cover her overseas engagements,? he said, adding she is in full contact with her executives and is expected back in the office by the end of next week.

09.32 BREAKING NEWS...

UK Construction PMI fell to 51.4 in January versus 53.2 in December. Analysts expetced 52.5.

(For a larger version of this graph, click the right-hand-side of the main picture at the top of this blog)

Poor result for the construction sector, and was the weakest result for four months. But reading is still above 50 mark that seperates contraction from growth

09.06 Good news. S&P, the ratings agency, believes that the eurozone recession could end later this year.

Meanwhile, Norwegian Finance Minister Sigbjorn Johnsen has said there are "good signals" for a euro recovery.

09.02 A veteran retailer has urged the Government to reject Mary Portas's plans to save the high street, claiming many shopping streets are "in a death spiral".

Phil Wrigley, the chairman of Majestic Wine, who has held directorships at New Look, Debenhams and BHS, likened high streets to the shipbuilding industry and said many should be converted to housing.

Ms Portas made 28 recommendations to the Government, including setting up national market days and "town teams" to get retailers, landlords and councils to work more closely together and introduce more free parking.

Mr Wrigley said:

Quote Unlike Mary Portas, I don't think we can continue to try and muddle through, supporting the traditional high street model. There comes a point when the vacancy rate is so high that no new retailers will come in to a location because they don't want to be sited among empty shops. It is, in effect, a death spiral. There is some debate about where the threshold lies but it is probably between 20pc and 30pc.

08.48 Spanish Economy Minister Luis de Guindos is to announce an overhaul of the country's banks this afternoon.

08.28 Benedict Brogan's email focuses on the Miliband brothers:

David Miliband, Labour?s submarine, surfaces and launches a torpedo: the former foreign secretary has an essay in today?s New Statesman (where else?) which is being widely intepreted as an attack on his brother. We've put it on page one and Today is leading on the story.

And though there is some careful praise for Ed, it?s hard not to see it as unhelpful for the Labour leader. As we report in our splash , David M attacks Roy Hattersley and Lord Kinnock (both Ed allies) for adopting what David calls a?reassurance Labour? response to the Coalition government.

08.20 In his daily email today, Telegraph City Editor Richard Fletcher focuses on some of the UK's biggest companies:

Fourth-quarter profits at Royal Dutch Shell are up 14pc as the high oil price made up for dismal margins in its refining business. The oil giant is upbeat: claiming that new projects will drive a 50pc rise in its cashflow and a 25pc rise in oil and gas production in the coming years. Profits are also up at AstraZeneca , although the company has warned that it expects earnings to fall this year as patents on key drugs expire and governments squeeze prices. Alongside its results the UK?s second largest drugmaker has announced plans to cut a further 7,300 jobs. Meanwhile, Unilver chief executive Paul Polman has warned "of a difficult 2012".

08.14 The BBC's Robert Peston on the business events of the past 24 hours:

08.05 Spanish unemployment jumped in January, new figures show. Country saw 177,470 more people out of work last month, higher than an estimated 127,000 and the larget number in three years. Unemployment now stands at 4.6m, or 22.9pc.

08.02 European markets have opened. FTSE 100 is flat, DAX is up 0.4pc, CAC is up 0.8pc, IBEX up 0.7pc, MIB up 0.7pc.

Royal Dutch Shell falls 1.4pc after results missed forecasts, despite its 2011 profit jumping 54pc to nearly $31bn. Xstrata jumps 11.7pc on merger talks.

07.47 More on the rumours that Glencore is nearing an agreement to combine with Xstrata (see 07.15). Xstrata has confirmed it is has received an approach from Glencore regarding an all-share merger of equals and is in talks. Xstrata stressed that there can be no certainty any offer will be made.

07.44 BREAKING NEWS...

Royal Dutch Shell has revealed that its 2011 net profit jumped by 54pc to $30.92bn on the back of higher energy prices.

07.41 A spokesman for the Greek government has said that the bulk of talks with troika lenders is over and just a few sticking points remain.

07.39 Switzerland's exports rebounded 6.1pc in December, imports 7.6pc, trade surplus of CHF2.07bn. Watch exports rose 21pc that month.

07.33 And the winner is... not Kodak. The century-old photography trailblazer has filed a request to pull its name from the Los Angeles theater hosting the Oscars as part of bankruptcy proceedings launched last month.

The request, filed at a New York bankruptcy court, asks for the cancellation of a contract signed in 2001 with developer TrizecHahn Hollywood in which Kodak paid an annual sum to attach its name to the venue.

07.15 Glencore is nearing an agreement to combine with Xstrata in a deal that may value the combined entity at �52bn, Bloomberg said, citing two people with knowledge of the plan. The two commodities-focused companies may announce a deal as early as this week, the people told the news agency.

07.08 BREAKING NEWS...

Pharmaceutical company AstraZeneca is to cut 7,300 jobs as part of a restructuring.

The company, which employs 8,000 people in the UK, is looking to axe 2,200 is research and development and 1,350 in operations. It will end R&D activity on two sites focused on neuroscience in Sweden and Canada. Around 3,750 positions in selling, general and administrative expenses will also be affected.

07.05 Key economic data out today include UK PMI construction at 9.30am, eurozone PPI at 10am, and US jobless claims and continuing claims at 1.30pm. We'll have the latest here when they come out.

07.00 Deutsche Bank has announced results. Net income of ?4.3bn for 2011. Q4 revenues of ?6.9bn were down 7pc from a year earlier. Provision for credit losses was ?1.8bn for 2011 versus ?1.3bn in 2010. Chief executive Josef Ackermann sees 2102 as "economically very challenging".

Meanwhile, Sony has reported a net loss of $1.2bn in the October-December quarter. Company blames weak TV sales and strong yen.

06.55 Back to the UK and Adam Posen, Monetary Policy Committee Member, believes things would have been much worse for Britain if the Bank of England hadn't launched quantitative easing.

He adds that inflation will fall all year, just as the BoE forecast.

06.53 First pieces of news coming out China, where Merkel is holding talks with leaders. She says high debt levels are not just a European problem, they are a global problem. She adds that the German market is open to Chinese business but urges the country to imporve its intellectual property protections.

Merkel wants rules for shadow banking to come about within G20 framework in the next two years.

Meanwhile, S&P sees Chinese soft landing as most likely scenario.

06.50 Meanwhile, in the Telegraph, Jeremy Warner asks what the Government has done for British business:

The banker bashing of the political class is now so out of hand it threatens serious damage to the UK economy. The tone and rhetoric is not just anti-banker, it is anti-business and sends all the wrong messages for a country which is meant to be "open for business". The only jobs being created in reasonable numbers in Western economies these days are in healthcare, education and business services. The first two of these sectors are largely public sector, which the Government is cutting as fast as it can. For Britain, the third largely revolves around the City, which the Government undermines with its every word and action.

06.47 In The Independent today, several financial experts offer their views on the future of the euro, with worrying results:

Danny Blanchflower, Professor of Economics, Dartmouth College: ?The fundamental problem that has not been addressed is that there is no growth plan for Greece."

Nouriel Roubini, Professor of Economics, New York University: ?The eurozone is a slow-motion train wreck. Not only Greece, other countries as well are insolvent. There?s a 50pc probability that over the next three to five years the eurozone will break up."

George Soros, currency trader: "We remain in the acute phase of the crisis; the prospect of a meltdown of the global financial system has not been removed. The trouble is that the cuts in government expenditures that Germany wants to impose on other countries will push Europe into a deflationary debt trap."

Alistair Darling, Chancellor of the Exchequer 2007-2010: "I don?t think anyone can realistically say that the eurozone will survive with its present membership and the longer the inaction goes on the greater the chance that one or more countries will be forced out."

Jim O?Neil, Chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management: "The reality is that too many countries joined the euro in the first place and ultimately without dramatic change they can?t probably survive."

Ed Balls, Shadow Chancellor: "Far from being over, I fear the eurozone crisis is this year entering a more chronic, drawn out but equally dangerous phase."

Olli Rehn, Vice President of the European Commission responsible for the euro: "The euro is here to stay and will emerge stronger from the current crisis. The events of the last two years have created the conditions for us to strengthen its foundations decisively."

06.44 Ed Balls has told the Financial Times that a "gaping hole" in the bill to revamp City regulation could prevent important warnings from reaching the Chancellor.

The Shadow Chancellor has criticised some of the extensive powers that the bill would grant to the Governor of the Bank of England, saying that the new structure could stifle dissenting voices.

QuoteI don?t think [the current system] can be said to have caused the global crisis. Countries with very different structures got this wrong. We are at best very unconvinced that this [bill] is a comprehensive solution.

Elsewhere in the FT, Kenneth Rogoff, professor of economics at Harvard University, has written a column on a crisis in capitalism:

Quote The idea that Chinese capitalism provides a blueprint for the rest of the world economy is an absurd exaggeration.

06.41 German Chancellor Angela Merkel is in China today to reassure Chinese leaders that Europe is resolving its debt crisis. Merkel is to deliver a speech later at a government think tank and meet Chinese leaders. German officials say Merkel's goals include reassuring Chinese leaders about the stability of the 17-nation euro area. They said she will brief them on this week's meeting of European leaders, who agreed on a treaty to impose new spending controls.

Merkel is expected to press Beijing to buy less Iranian oil to help Western governments pressure Iran to give up a possible nuclear weapons program. China gets more than 10pc of its oil imports from Iran, and Beijing has rejected an embargo.

06.38 Mark Zuckerberg compared the launch of Facebook with the invention of the printing press as the company powered up a $5bn (�3.2bn) initial public offering last night, which is expected to rank as the biggest technology flotation in history.

The Class B shares of Mr Zuckerberg - who owns 28.4pc of the company - will each carry 10 votes, whereas the Class A shares being offered at IPO will have just one vote a piece. The filing said:

Quote[The structure] provides Mr Zuckerberg with the ability to control the outcome of matters requiring stockholder approval, even if he owns significantly less than a majority of the shares.

Key points from Facebook's IPO filing include the fact that the site chalked up $1bn of net income last year, almost doubling the $606m it made in 2010. Revenues shot up to $3.71bn last year from $1.97bn in 2010.

In a letter, Mr Zuckerberg said:

QuoteFacebook was not originally created to be a company. It was built to accomplish a social mission ? to make the world more open and connected. We think it?s important that everyone who invests in Facebook understands what this mission means to us, how we make decisions and why we do the things we do... Simply put: we don?t build services to make money; we make money to build better services.

06.30 The Mirror has led on the news that Ravi Sinha, 47, was fined nearly �3m by the City watchdog for fraud but escaped criminal prosecution after his company JC Flowers allegedly refused to help police nail him. City of London Police and JC Flowers yesterday blamed each other for the scandal ? both accusing the other of having no appetite for prosecution.

Meanwhile, The Times says Lloyds is preparing to hand investment banking chief Truett Tate a �4.8m payout as he leaves the bank as part of a management reshuffle

06.25 This morning's business pages are split between the state of the UK economy and Facebook filing for its IPO:

06.15 Good morning and welcome back to our debt crisis live blog.

Debt crisis live: archive

Source: http://telegraph.feedsportal.com/c/32726/f/568312/s/1c568ba7/l/0L0Stelegraph0O0Cfinance0Cdebt0Ecrisis0Elive0C90A557820CDebt0Ecrisis0Elive0Bhtml/story01.htm

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